ECHL Power Rankings 2026–27
Through the games of Nov 10. Arrows show the change since Nov 4.
- 1–
Florida8-1-0 · 16 pts+21 goal differential, best in the ECHL · 3-0-0 this week+0.60Rating98%Playoffs51%Div title - 2▲6
Toledo6-2-0 · 12 pts3-0-0 this week · outshooting teams 297–198+0.41Rating90%Playoffs39%Div title - 3▼1
South Carolina7-1-0 · 14 pts2-0-0 this week · +19 goal differential, 2nd-best in the ECHL+0.40Rating94%Playoffs31%Div title - 4▼1
Rapid City5-2-0 · 10 ptsPenalty kill 2nd at 92.9% · +9 goal differential, tied for 5th in the league+0.30Rating76%Playoffs28%Div title - 5–
Cincinnati7-2-1 · 15 ptsPenalty kill 29th at 72.4% · 2-1-0 this week+0.25Rating83%Playoffs24%Div title - 6▼2
Trois-Rivières7-0-2 · 16 ptsNo regulation losses yet · +18 goal differential, 3rd-best in the ECHL+0.23Rating82%Playoffs35%Div title - 7▼1
Allen6-3-0 · 12 pts2-1-0 this week · +5 goal differential, 10th in the league+0.20Rating70%Playoffs22%Div title - 8▼1
Reading4-3-0 · 8 pts+4 goal differential, 11th in the league+0.19Rating64%Playoffs17%Div title - 9–
Bloomington5-0-2 · 12 ptsNo regulation losses yet · 1-0-1 this week+0.18Rating80%Playoffs24%Div title - 10–
Adirondack4-3-0 · 8 pts1-1-0 this week · outshooting teams 240–185+0.18Rating65%Playoffs19%Div title - 11▲1
Greenville8-1-2 · 18 pts3-0-0 this week · power play 2nd at 25.6%+0.18Rating88%Playoffs15%Div title - 12▲4
Kansas City5-5-0 · 10 pts2-0-0 this week · -1 goal differential, tied for 16th in the league+0.10Rating56%Playoffs11%Div title - 13–
Tulsa6-2-0 · 12 pts1-1-0 this week · +9 goal differential, tied for 5th in the league+0.10Rating68%Playoffs20%Div title - 14–
Savannah3-6-1 · 7 ptsOutshooting teams 358–251 · 1-2-0 this week+0.07Rating54%Playoffs2%Div title - 15▼4
Maine4-4-0 · 8 ptsPenalty kill 1st at 93.1% · 1-2-0 this week+0.05Rating53%Playoffs11%Div title - 16▼1
Wichita4-3-1 · 9 pts1-1-0 this week · -4 goal differential, tied for 20th in the league−0.03Rating46%Playoffs8%Div title - 17▲3
Greensboro5-3-2 · 12 pts2-1-0 this week · +2 goal differential, 12th in the league−0.05Rating48%Playoffs8%Div title - 18▲1
Idaho3-3-1 · 7 pts-1 goal differential, tied for 16th in the league−0.10Rating41%Playoffs7%Div title - 19▲5
Wheeling3-2-3 · 9 ptsPenalty kill last at 71.4% · 2-1-0 this week−0.10Rating48%Playoffs5%Div title - 20▼3
Fort Wayne4-4-1 · 9 ptsPower play last at 9.4% · 1-1-1 this week−0.14Rating41%Playoffs4%Div title - 21▲1
Indy4-5-3 · 11 pts1-0-2 this week · -6 goal differential, tied for 22nd in the league−0.15Rating35%Playoffs3%Div title - 22▲1
Trenton4-2-3 · 11 pts2-0-1 this week · 0 goal differential, tied for 13th in the league−0.18Rating42%Playoffs7%Div title - 23▼5
Tahoe4-5-1 · 9 pts0-2-0 this week · power play 29th at 10.2%−0.22Rating27%Playoffs3%Div title - 24▲3
Norfolk5-6-1 · 11 pts2-1-0 this week · -12 goal differential, tied for 25th in the league−0.24Rating27%Playoffs3%Div title - 25▼4
Worcester2-6-0 · 4 pts0-2-0 this week · -10 goal differential, 24th in the league−0.24Rating20%Playoffs2%Div title - 26–
Orlando2-5-2 · 6 pts1-2-1 this week · -12 goal differential, tied for 25th in the league−0.25Rating30%Playoffs1%Div title - 27▲3
New Mexico2-5-4 · 8 pts1-1-1 this week · -14 goal differential, tied for 28th in the league−0.30Rating17%Playoffs1%Div title - 28▼3
Kalamazoo3-4-2 · 8 ptsOutshot 339–229 so far · 1-3-0 this week−0.37Rating24%Playoffs1%Div title - 29–
Jacksonville3-4-3 · 9 pts0-2-1 this week · outshot 339–252 so far−0.41Rating24%Playoffs1%Div title - 30▼2
Atlanta2-7-1 · 5 pts-17 goal differential, worst in the league · 0-2-0 this week−0.47Rating12%Playoffs<1%Div title
How it works
- Rate every teamGoals scored and allowed per game count for 60%, shots for and against for 40%. A team that keeps outshooting opponents tends to start winning, and an 8–1 night on even shots is mostly luck, so shots steady the rating. Both are pulled toward the league average early on, so a hot start counts for less than it looks.
- Play out the season 20,000 timesEvery remaining game on the real schedule gets a simulated score from the two teams' ratings, with a small home-ice edge. Each run also nudges every rating up or down, because a team can turn out better or worse than its numbers so far. Tied games go to overtime or a shootout, so loser points count.
- CountPlayoff % is how often a team finished top 4 in its division. Division title % and projected points come from the same runs. A team shows 100% only once it has clinched, and 0% once it is eliminated.
- RankThe power rankings sort teams by the rating from step 1: how many goals a game better or worse than an average team they should be. Everything updates after every game.
Tested on the last five seasons
93%of teams given 80% or better made the playoffs
1 in 10teams given under 20% made it anyway
30dates tested, 2021–22 through 2025–26, from 8 games in to 60